GRAVITY · /land · v1.89
集体注意力的基础设施：隐喻，做成仪器。/Infrastructure for collective attention: metaphor, made instrumental.
注意力的基础设施：把隐喻做成仪器。/Infrastructure for collective attention: metaphor, made instrumental.
Web4 means infrastructure that maps where collective attention, capital and power settle. The word 'consciousness' stays a metaphor. Each metaphor has to name the instrument behind it and what that instrument actually measures.
| Metaphor | Instrument | Measures | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attention priced | L-01 Capital-flow season monitor | Relative flow and momentum proxies across five asset classes | O/M |
| Attention anchored | L-03 Macro · micro land | Credit, supply, power and parcel constraints | O/M |
| Attention hypothesized | L-02 Probability stress field | Deviation of random bitstreams from a stated null | S |
| Attention narrated | L-04 易经 deduction engine | Nothing physical; a structured cultural reading | C |
| Attention remembered | L-05 Reasoning log | What was claimed, when, and what came before it | — |
Web4 stance from the locked pack: each metaphor names an instrument and what it measures. Grades O/M/S/C are shown before any figures. No hero media.
S级示意 · 非评级Grade S · Illustrative, not a rating
演示模式示意，非实时数据：河流仅按本季排名顺序绘制。线宽、流向与流动均不代表金额或资金进出，亦不构成建议。Demo-mode illustration, not live data: rivers follow this season's rank order only. Their width, direction and motion do not represent amounts or capital moving in or out, and are not advice.
Descriptive monitor of observed flows. Not investment advice; no recommendations.
CASH › CREDIT › EQ › RE › CRYPTO
Season rule: Top-rank dispersion widening; CREDIT deteriorating while EQ still high
| Class | z | Rank | Δ4w | Δ13w | Δ52w |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASH | 0.92 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +2 |
| CREDIT | 0.41 | 2 | +1 | 0 | −1 |
| EQ | 0.18 | 3 | −1 | −1 | 0 |
| RE | -0.22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
| CRYPTO | -0.55 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cadence: weekly canonical · intraweek provisional. Illustrative proxies — gaps marked [VERIFY].
已过周期 · 33 天前 / past cadence · 33d old
Descriptive monitor of observed flows. Not investment advice; no recommendations.
描述性监测，非投资建议，不构成任何买卖推荐。
Each proxy → rolling z over a 3-year window; class composite = mean of proxies. Season change needs 3 consecutive weekly readings (hysteresis). Descriptive rank order only — no recommendation language.
Credit impulse
soft
M · [VERIFY]
Mortgage − 10y
+1.8pp
O · public proxy
Cap − real 10y
compressed
M · [VERIFY]
Starts vs completions
starts < completions
O · public starts
Vacancy (sector mix)
office↑ / ind. tight
M · [VERIFY]
Net domestic migration
Sun Belt +
O · census proxy
Grid headroom index
constrained
M · ERCOT queue proxy [VERIFY]
The macro grid-headroom index and the micro $/deliverable MW are the same thesis at two scales附录 · 数据中心电力备忘录 / Appendix · datacenter power memo · L-16 · 已通电稀缺天气.
DFW / ERCOT
DFW / ERCOT
Macro strip: public series preferred; licensed commercial feeds marked [VERIFY]. Micro: DFW / ERCOT illustrative parcels only in v1 — grade M/O. Derived $/deliverable MW is modeled (M). No listing UX.
合成推演 · 概率应力场 / Synthetic inference · Probability stress field
| n | test | control | lo | hi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -0.920 | 1.420 | -2.772 | 2.772 |
| 21 | 3.920 | -6.660 | -12.702 | 12.702 |
| 41 | 17.120 | -7.780 | -17.749 | 17.749 |
| 61 | 21.820 | -1.760 | -21.649 | 21.649 |
| 81 | 15.620 | -2.620 | -24.947 | 24.947 |
| 101 | 9.940 | -4.720 | -27.857 | 27.857 |
| 121 | 2.120 | 1.040 | -30.490 | 30.490 |
| 141 | -2.860 | -9.720 | -32.914 | 32.914 |
| 161 | -3.800 | -14.960 | -35.171 | 35.171 |
| 180 | -9.340 | -0.420 | -37.188 | 37.188 |
solid = test · dotted = control · envelope 95% null · accent only on breach
| Windows | Hits | E[chance] | Corrected p | Null cal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ~0.05 | — | 5.1% |
Formal tally counts pre-registered windows only. Null results shown with equal prominence. Calibration badge: ~5% envelope exceedance over 10,000 SIM null runs.
Exploratory and synthetic. Deviations from chance, if any, are not evidence of consciousness, intention or any paranormal effect. Prior research in this area is contested. v1 entropy provenance is SIM (seeded CSPRNG).
Statistic: per-second z = (sum − 100)/√50; cumulative Σ(z² − 1). Control stream independent. Provenance badge = SIM. HW never appears in v1.
Provenance SIM · method yarrow · P(exact cast) ≈ 4.69e-4
本卦 primary
10. 履 · Treading
履虎尾，不咥人，亨。
Treading near danger with care.
Lens only: invites attention to constraint and timing beside L-01 season and L-03 power headroom — not a forecast.
A reading within a cultural and philosophical tradition. Not a forecast, not engineering fact, not financial guidance.
Commit-reveal: H(seed) logged before lines; seed revealed after. Method odds drawn beside lines. No forecast verbs; no asset mappings.
只追加，不改写。每条以 SHA-256 与上一条相连；更正另立新条目，并注明所更正的序号。合成推演标注 S 级。非投资建议。Append-only; nothing is rewritten. Each entry is linked to the one before by SHA-256. A correction is a new entry that names the seq it corrects. Synthetic inference is stamped Grade S. Not investment advice.
只追加的 SHA-256 哈希链，自创世 #0 至链头。每条对 seq|utc|kind|plate|body|prev_hash 求哈希，并与上一条相连。账本存于受版本控制的文件，只能经审阅后由编辑脚本追加；每次构建逐条重算，不符即停止发布。锁包、方法修订、待核项核实三类事件必须登记，缺一则构建不通过；研发条目写明假设、已采取的动作与证伪条件。更正另立新条目并注明所更正的序号，原条目不改。各版块页脚哈希均可在此查到。非投资建议。
Append-only SHA-256 chain from genesis #0 to the head. Each entry hashes seq|utc|kind|plate|body|prev_hash and links to the one before. The ledger is a version-controlled file, appended only by a reviewed editorial script; every build rechecks each hash and stops on a mismatch. Pack locks, method revisions and cleared checks must be logged, or the build fails. R&D entries state a hypothesis, the action taken and a falsifier. A correction is a new entry naming the seq it corrects; the original stands. Every plate footer hash resolves here. Not investment advice.
在本机合成、循环播放的声音掩蔽。在私下面谈时可能降低录音的可懂度。效果为建模推演，未经实地测量。/A looping sound mask synthesized on this device that can degrade recording intelligibility during private in-person meetings. Effectiveness is modeled, not field-measured.
Looping speech-shaped noise plus synthetic babble layers, synthesized on-device. It can degrade recording intelligibility; effectiveness is modeled, not field-measured. No microphone, no upload. Standing notice and one-tap Stop while playing.
为合影封签，让任何人都能核对手里的副本是不是你封签的那份文件。/Seal a group photo so anyone can check whether a copy is the file you sealed.
It doesn't prove the photo is real, unstaged, or unedited before it was sealed.
Tamper-evident credential: a signed record of the exact file bytes (SHA-256) and a time they existed by. Public verify. Originals are not stored. No face database. Experimental; noindex until minors_counsel clears. Link-less hash lookup is off in v1.
本仪表仅列承保约束，不是出售、要约或投资建议。Underwriting constraints only. Not a sale, offer, or investment advice.
天体与轨道上的权利尚未确定：不得据为己有原则、各国许可制度与非约束性原则并存且有争议。本页不主张任何产权。Rights in orbit and on celestial bodies are unsettled: non-appropriation, national licensing and non-binding principles coexist and are contested. No title is claimed.
—
Candidate: published launch rate cards; per-provider listed rate, rideshare and dedicated as separate rows, each with as_of; no cross-provider median; exclude undisclosed deals. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: public award notices of agency commercial-station programs (e.g., NASA CLD) as agency-funding signal, not tenant demand; count and as_of only. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: public task-order records of lunar delivery programs (e.g., NASA CLPS); disclosed award value and payload mass as separate cells; no ratio. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: annual reports of listed issuers (e.g., SEC Form 10-K); capex and backlog lines as capital-intensity proxy; cite page. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: ITU and national regulator (e.g., FCC) filing databases; pending filings by orbit band as LEO congestion proxy. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: statute text of national regimes (e.g., US, Luxembourg) as entitlement proxy; list scope only, infer no title. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: official signatory list; show count with label 'non-binding principles'. [VERIFY]
—
Candidate: public market or reinsurer reports on space-risk capacity/pricing; '—' until a sourced figure or statement exists; no directional adjectives without source_url. [VERIFY]
| — | 近地轨道LEO | 月面Lunar surface | 火星表面Mars surface |
|---|---|---|---|
电力Power | Method: net array output after eclipse fraction and degradation vs. tenant load; all parameters unset. M | Illustrative: lunar night forces storage or fission-class baseload; polar sites trade illumination vs. access. See optional §. [VERIFY] S | S·合成推演: dust-reduced solar vs. fission-class baseload; dust storm as outage scenario. See optional §. [VERIFY] S |
§ 可选：电力论题备忘录/§ Optional: power thesis memo电力约束的延伸论题见备忘录，可跳过。Extended power thesis lives in the memo; optional reading. | |||
热控Thermal | Illustrative: radiator area bound by rejected heat; sun/shadow cycling drives fatigue life. S | Illustrative: large day/night swing; regolith cover or shading as thermal-mass option. [VERIFY] S | S·合成推演: thin carbon-dioxide atmosphere, cold nights; insulation and heating dominate load. [VERIFY] S |
辐射Radiation | Method: dose by orbit band from public space-weather models; shielding mass priced via launch price proxy. [VERIFY] M输入/Inputs: LEO launch price per kg (proxy) | Illustrative: no magnetosphere; regolith cover as mass-cheap shielding; solar-event shelter required. [VERIFY] S | S·合成推演: thin atmosphere, no global magnetic field; buried habitat shielding scenario. [VERIFY] S |
物流Logistics | Method: launch-only lower bound = manifest mass x launch price proxy; excludes cargo vehicle, integration, ops and deorbit allowance (unpriced). [VERIFY] M输入/Inputs: LEO launch price per kg (proxy) | Illustrative: delivery cost unpriced; award records are not market prices; landing-site access adds unquantified cost. [VERIFY] S输入/Inputs: Lunar delivery award records | S·合成推演: launch-window cadence gates resupply; in-situ resource use as lever, unproven at scale. [VERIFY] S |
权利状态（未定）Entitlement (unsettled) | Open: registered hardware stays under its state of registry; whether any right to an orbital slot or location exists is contested; operations run on national authorization and ITU filings. [VERIFY] M输入/Inputs: Orbital and spectrum filing queue · National space-resource licensing regimes | Contested: non-appropriation principle vs. national resource statutes; Accords-style safety zones are non-binding principles; status open, no title claimed. [VERIFY] M输入/Inputs: National space-resource licensing regimes · Artemis Accords signatories (non-binding) | S·合成推演: same non-appropriation question as Moon; no settled regime for surface use; status open. [VERIFY] S |
入驻时间Time to occupancy | Illustrative gates: license → launch → commissioning → tenant; durations unset, no dates. S | Illustrative gates: survey → cargo precursors → power online → habitation; scenario, not schedule. S | S·合成推演: horizon undefined; sequence only (cargo → power → habitat), no dates. S |
Method: net array output after eclipse fraction and degradation vs. tenant load; all parameters unset.
MIllustrative: radiator area bound by rejected heat; sun/shadow cycling drives fatigue life.
SMethod: dose by orbit band from public space-weather models; shielding mass priced via launch price proxy. [VERIFY]
MMethod: launch-only lower bound = manifest mass x launch price proxy; excludes cargo vehicle, integration, ops and deorbit allowance (unpriced). [VERIFY]
MOpen: registered hardware stays under its state of registry; whether any right to an orbital slot or location exists is contested; operations run on national authorization and ITU filings. [VERIFY]
MIllustrative gates: license → launch → commissioning → tenant; durations unset, no dates.
SIllustrative: lunar night forces storage or fission-class baseload; polar sites trade illumination vs. access. See optional §. [VERIFY]
SIllustrative: large day/night swing; regolith cover or shading as thermal-mass option. [VERIFY]
SIllustrative: no magnetosphere; regolith cover as mass-cheap shielding; solar-event shelter required. [VERIFY]
SIllustrative: delivery cost unpriced; award records are not market prices; landing-site access adds unquantified cost. [VERIFY]
SContested: non-appropriation principle vs. national resource statutes; Accords-style safety zones are non-binding principles; status open, no title claimed. [VERIFY]
MIllustrative gates: survey → cargo precursors → power online → habitation; scenario, not schedule.
SS·合成推演: dust-reduced solar vs. fission-class baseload; dust storm as outage scenario. See optional §. [VERIFY]
SS·合成推演: thin carbon-dioxide atmosphere, cold nights; insulation and heating dominate load. [VERIFY]
SS·合成推演: thin atmosphere, no global magnetic field; buried habitat shielding scenario. [VERIFY]
SS·合成推演: launch-window cadence gates resupply; in-situ resource use as lever, unproven at scale. [VERIFY]
SS·合成推演: same non-appropriation question as Moon; no settled regime for surface use; status open. [VERIFY]
SS·合成推演: horizon undefined; sequence only (cargo → power → habitat), no dates.
S电力约束的延伸论题见备忘录，可跳过。Extended power thesis lives in the memo; optional reading.
[VERIFY] 标记未核实的缺口，待补来源链接与日期。[VERIFY] marks an unverified gap awaiting source link and date.
近地轨道与月面各格为示意（S/M）；火星表面各格均为 S 级合成推演。均非工程或估值结论。LEO and lunar cells are illustrative (S/M); every Mars surface cell is Grade S synthetic scenario. None are engineering or valuation findings.
所列公共机构、公司与法规仅为候选代理指标，不代表关联、赞助或背书。Named public bodies, firms and laws are candidate proxies only, not affiliates, sponsors or endorsements.
本页不含分析师或交易台引语，也不含推荐语。No analyst or desk quotes, and no testimonials.
Underwriting sheet for space real-estate development: which physical, logistic, legal and time limits bind at LEO, lunar and Mars sites, each graded by evidence, before any capital or rights talk.
Underwrite the site before the deed: a constraints ledger where title is a graded open question, not an asset, and Mars is openly a synthetic scenario.
Candidate public proxies only. Named entities/laws are comparison slots, not affiliates. value is null in seed and renders '—'; only ingest stamps O with source_url + as_of.
Macro slots stay Grade M until founder sign-off per slot — no auto-promote to O.
L-09 实验性体验设计仪器 · 全部为合成推演（S）· 非医疗建议 · 辐射与隔离等风险不作隐藏。L-09 experimental experience-design instrument · all content synthetic (Grade S) · not medical advice · radiation and isolation risks are not hidden.
不售票、不预订、无价格。与任何航天运营商、机构或票务方无关联。No tickets, bookings, or prices. No affiliation with any space operator, agency, or vendor.
Multi-month closed-loop transit, e.g. an Earth-Mars outbound leg; synthetic scenario.
Suborbital hop or LEO stay of days; synthetic scenario; no EVA.
发射、再入、飞行器故障与医疗紧急情况（长程数月无法撤离）不在本模型内，且风险不低。Launch, re-entry, vehicle failure and medical emergencies (no evacuation for months in Long) are outside this model and are not low.
| 阶段 | 调整 | 时数变动（S） | 风险等级（S） |
|---|---|---|---|
| 出发适应P1 | 出发与适应：训练低于基线起步；社交增加以建立规范。Departure and adaptation: TRAIN starts below baseline; SOCIAL gains time to set norms. | TRAIN>FLEX:1.0 PURPOSE>SOCIAL:0.5 | ◦ RAD:moderate◦ ISO:low◦ CIRC:elevated◦ DECON:moderate△ SPE:possible□ OOM |
| 巡航早期P2 | 巡航早期：基线日程；每周节奏开始。Early cruise: baseline ring; weekly cadence begins. | NONE | ◦ RAD:elevated◦ ISO:moderate◦ CIRC:moderate◦ DECON:elevated△ SPE:possible |
| 巡航中段P3 | 巡航中段单调监测：目的性工作内容每周轮换；适用舱外窗口面板。Mid-cruise monotony watch: PURPOSE content rotates weekly; EVA panel applies. | SOCIAL>SOLITUDE:0.5 | ◦ RAD:elevated◦ ISO:high◦ CIRC:moderate◦ DECON:elevated△ SPE:possible |
| 巡航后期P4 | 巡航后期再适应：观景转向接近中的目标。Late-cruise reconditioning: OBSERVE turns toward the approaching target. | PURPOSE>TRAIN:1.0 | ◦ RAD:high◦ ISO:high◦ CIRC:moderate◦ DECON:high△ SPE:possible |
| 抵达准备P5 | 抵达准备：安全简报扩展；抵达作业前保住睡眠。Arrival prep: BRIEF expands; SLEEP held before arrival operations. | PURPOSE>BRIEF:1.5 | ◦ RAD:high◦ ISO:moderate◦ CIRC:elevated◦ DECON:high△ SPE:possible□ OOM |
| 阶段 | 调整 | 风险等级（S） |
|---|---|---|
| 地面准备S1 | 地面日：安全简报与训练为主；睡眠向飞行时钟移动。Ground days: BRIEF and TRAIN lead; sleep shifts toward the flight clock. | ◦ RAD:low◦ ISO:low◦ CIRC:moderate◦ DECON:low |
| 发射与飞行段S2 | 发射与飞行段：观景为稀缺区块；乘组指令优先于一切。Launch and flight segment: OBSERVE is the scarce block; crew commands override all. | ◦ RAD:low◦ ISO:low◦ CIRC:low◦ DECON:low□ OOM |
| 轨道日S3 | 轨道日：适用近地轨道 24h 日程。LEO days: ring_24h_leo applies. | ◦ RAD:moderate◦ ISO:moderate◦ CIRC:elevated◦ DECON:low |
| 再入与恢复S4 | 再入与恢复：仅睡眠与起居；返回当天不安排活动。Re-entry and recovery: SLEEP and CARE only; nothing scheduled on return day. | ◦ RAD:moderate◦ ISO:low◦ CIRC:moderate◦ DECON:moderate□ OOM |
| 区块 / Block | 预算 h/24h | 体验产出（S） | 代价 | 风险说明 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 睡眠Sleep | 8.0 | foundationS | CIRC | 假设固定舰日光照锚点；非挪用来源。Fixed ship-day light anchor assumed; not a donor block. |
| 训练Training | 2.5 | lowS | DECON | 假设可减缓身体失调；未验证；非医疗方案。Assumed to slow deconditioning; unvalidated; not a medical protocol. |
| 目的性工作Purpose work | 3.5 | highS | ISO | 舰务、学习、手作；假设为对抗单调的主要手段。Tasks, study, craft; assumed main defense against monotony. |
| 安全简报Safety brief | 0.5 | lowS | RAD | 太阳粒子事件与应急程序复习；安全呼叫优先。SPE and emergency procedure review; safety calls override. |
| 社交Social | 3.0 | moderateS | ISO | 每日至少一次小组共餐；密度过高增加摩擦。>=1 SMALL shared meal daily; excess density adds friction. |
| 独处Solitude | 2.0 | highS | ISO | 无预定提醒；安全事件可打断；如有则用私人空间。No scheduled pings; safety can interrupt; private space if available. |
| 观景Observation | 1.0 | variableS | ISO | 景观新鲜感可能消退；目标轮换；不承诺震撼。View novelty may fade; targets rotate; awe is not promised. |
| 起居Care | 2.0 | lowS | RADDECON | 餐食、清洁、前往避难舱（若飞行器有）；健康此处不建模。Meals, hygiene, shelter transit if the vehicle has one; health not modeled here. |
| 弹性Flex | 1.5 | variableS | CIRC | 吸收超时与安全事件。Absorbs overruns and safety events. |
| 合计 24.0h / Total 24.0h | 24.0 | |||
| 区块 / Block | 预算 h/24h | 体验产出（S） | 代价 | 风险说明 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 睡眠Sleep | 8.0 | foundationS | CIRC | 快速明暗循环致睡眠碎片化；假设固定熄灯。Fast light/dark cycles fragment sleep; fixed lights-out assumed. |
| 安全简报Safety brief | 2.0 | lowS | RAD | 安全与通讯演练；安全呼叫优先于所有区块。Safety and comms drills; safety calls override all blocks. |
| 训练Training | 1.0 | lowS | DECON | 假设有助适应；未验证；非医疗方案。Assumed to ease adaptation; unvalidated; not a medical protocol. |
| 观景Observation | 3.0 | highS | CIRC | 至少分两次；主要代价是为看窗牺牲睡眠。>=2 sessions; main cost is trading sleep for the window. |
| 社交Social | 3.0 | moderateS | ISO | 默认小组；数日内拥挤也会增加摩擦。SMALL by default; crowding adds friction even over days. |
| 独处Solitude | 1.0 | moderateS | ISO | 无预定提醒；安全事件可打断。No scheduled pings; safety can interrupt. |
| 目的性工作Purpose work | 2.0 | moderateS | ISO | 手作、科普、日记；给日子以形状。Craft, outreach, journaling; gives days a shape. |
| 起居Care | 3.0 | lowS | DECON | 餐食与清洁；健康检查此处不建模。Meals, hygiene; health checks not modeled here. |
| 弹性Flex | 1.0 | variableS | CIRC | 吸收超时，使睡眠不作挪用来源。Absorbs overruns so SLEEP is not the donor. |
| 合计 24.0h / Total 24.0h | 24.0 | |||
| 日 | 时数变动（S） | 代价 | 风险说明 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 第6日 · 低负荷Day 6 · low-demand | PURPOSE>SOLITUDE:1.0 PURPOSE>FLEX:0.5 | ISO | 低负荷日；更多独处可能加深部分人的隔离感；保留小组餐。Low-demand day; more solitude can deepen isolation for some; SMALL meal kept. |
| 第7日 · 共享Day 7 · shared | PURPOSE>SOCIAL:1.0 | ISO | 社交内一次全员餐 ≤2.0h；独处内异步地球留言时段；延迟与密度可能增加压力。One ALL meal <=2.0h in SOCIAL; async Earth-message slot in SOLITUDE; delay and density may add strain. |
| 每周Weekly | NONE | RAD ISO | 起居中避难演练（若飞行器有避难舱）；小组轮换；自愿同伴交流不是心理治疗。Shelter drill in CARE if the vehicle has one; SMALL groups rotate; opt-in peer check-in is not therapy. |
舱外活动窗口为假设，从不保证；默认结果为不提供。EVA windows are hypothetical and never guaranteed; the default outcome is none.
状态: NOT OFFERED
频次 / Cadence
前提 / Preconditions
替代 / Fallback
trades: RAD · CIRC
每个预算与其建模代价同行显示；未建模危险仅列出，不评分。Every budget is shown with its modeled costs; unmodeled hazards are listed, not scored.
日程非运营方、乘组或医疗处方；此处任何日程均未被证明能预防身体失调。Schedules are not operator, crew or medical prescriptions; no schedule here is shown to prevent deconditioning.
安全事件（如太阳粒子事件）可打断任何区块，包括睡眠。Safety events (e.g. solar particle events) can interrupt any block, sleep included.
体验产出为合成序数，未经测量，不承诺震撼。Experience yield is a synthetic, unmeasured ordinal; awe is not promised.
Placed after L-08 on /land. Shows how a traveler's finite attention could be budgeted on short and multi-month trips, each hour beside the risk it trades against. Permanently synthetic (Grade S).
An attention ledger, not a brochure: each block of view, company or quiet sits in the same row as its synthetic risk tier for radiation, isolation, circadian drift or deconditioning.
为非本地住客比较 30–40 天以上住宿平台的公开条款，不是酒店搜索。Compares disclosed terms for non-local guests staying 30–40+ days. Not a hotel search.
本仪器不对任何平台作绝对可靠性评级，只显示已公开条款与未知项。No platform gets an absolute reliability rating; the plate shows disclosed terms and unknowns.
v1 尚未抓取来源：所有等级为 U。v1 not yet ingested: all levels are U.
联盟佣金：无。本页无付费排名。Affiliate: none. No paid placement.
行序不是排名。 / Row order is not a ranking.
| Slot | 等级与条款适配度只反映平台公开条款，不代表房源合法、房东行为、安全或评价真实。 / Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity. | 条款适配度 / 覆盖 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | 已知条款覆盖不足 60%，不显示条款适配度。Coverage below 60%; disclosure fit hidden.Coverage 0Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity. | |
UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | 已知条款覆盖不足 60%，不显示条款适配度。Coverage below 60%; disclosure fit hidden.Coverage 0Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity. | |
UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | 已知条款覆盖不足 60%，不显示条款适配度。Coverage below 60%; disclosure fit hidden.Coverage 0Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity. | |
UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | 已知条款覆盖不足 60%，不显示条款适配度。Coverage below 60%; disclosure fit hidden.Coverage 0Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity. | |
UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | UM⚑ | 已知条款覆盖不足 60%，不显示条款适配度。Coverage below 60%; disclosure fit hidden.Coverage 0Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity. |
DEMO-S0
需日本电话；写明可用邮箱替代（合成）JP phone required; email contact stated as alternative (synthetic)
写明租赁类型；允许 30 晚以上（合成）Lease type stated; 30+ nights allowed (synthetic)
快照中无支付条款（合成）Payment terms not in snapshot (synthetic)
条款写明退款由房东裁量（合成）ToS states refunds at host discretion (synthetic)
写明仅限已入住者评价（合成）Reviews stated as limited to completed stays (synthetic)
覆盖 85 · 条款适配度 65（合成；演示 U 排除）coverage 85 · disclosure fit 65 (synthetic; shows U exclusion)
诈骗模式为合成推演（S），用于提示核查，不能证明任何房源是诈骗。Scam patterns are synthetic (S) prompts to check, not proof that any listing is a scam.
非法律、签证或税务建议。签约前请阅读原始条款或咨询专业人士。Not legal, visa, or tax advice. Read the original terms or consult a professional before signing.
若将来出现付费位置，将单独标注，且不进入自然排序。Any future paid placement will be labeled separately and never mixed into organic order.
U = 无带日期快照，或条款缺失、含糊。不等于 0，也不等于满分。U = no dated snapshot, or terms silent or unclear. Not zero, not full marks.
核查标记表示尚未对照带日期的原始来源核对。The verify flag marks values not yet checked against a dated source.
本仪器不收集、不抓取房东或住客的个人信息。This instrument does not collect or scrape host or guest personal data.
等级与条款适配度只反映平台公开条款，不代表房源合法、房东行为、安全或评价真实。Levels and disclosure fit reflect disclosed platform terms only, not listing legality, host conduct, safety, or review authenticity.
O 已观测（公开、带日期）· M 方法/模型 · S 合成推演（L-04 另见 C 文化推演） / O Observed (public, dated) · M Method/Modeled · S Synthetic scenario (C cultural: L-04 only)
0: 条款明示对非居民构成阻碍 / Terms state a blocker for non-residents
1: 条款明示限制或由对方裁量 / Terms state a restriction or discretion
2: 条款明示可行路径，但有摩擦 / Terms state a workable path with friction
3: 带日期条款明示非居民可通过 / Dated terms state the check is cleared for non-residents
U: 无带日期快照，或条款缺失、含糊；非 0 非 3 / No dated snapshot, or terms silent/ambiguous; not 0, not 3
Compares platform archetypes for foreigners booking 30–40+ day stays in Japan on disclosed terms, with grades and unknowns visible; evidence, never rank.
Unknown is a first-class result: every level names the dated disclosure that would overturn it, so the plate is falsifiable, not a leaderboard.
fit = 100 × Σ_known(w × level/3) ÷ Σ_known(w); coverage = Σ_known(w)
U is excluded from numerator and denominator; never imputed as 0 or 3.
Show fit only when coverage ≥ 60; round half up; label copy.label_fit, never 'score'; coverage beside it; notice_scope adjacent; no sort by fit.
L-11 只做扫描和排序：不下单，也不接入任何交易场所。每张卡都是合成推演（S 级），标的均为合成占位，不对应任何真实资产、发行方或地区；未绑定任何市场数据，缺口标注 [VERIFY]。这里没有价格、报价或收益，只有约束档位、日期窗口和成立条件。不承诺收益，不构成投资建议。L-11 scans and ranks. It places nothing and connects to nothing. Every card is synthetic inference (Grade S), and every subject is a synthetic placeholder, not a real asset, issuer or district. No market data is bound, and gaps are tagged [VERIFY]. There are no prices, quotes or returns here, only constraint bands, date windows and the conditions that would have to hold. It promises no return and is not investment advice.
合成推演暂停开关 · 由编辑设置，只作用于推演Synthesis kill switch · editor-set, applies to inference only
流动性 · liquidity
解锁/归属 · unlock/vest
场所风险 · venue risk
叙事残差 · narrative residual
时间窗口 · timing window
[VERIFY]
若本卡假设的解锁排期 [VERIFY] 使 Token-A（合成）的一次性解锁落在窗内、规模大于现有流通量，而退出深度仍偏紧、交易集中于单一场所，约束可能集中在解锁日前后（解锁/归属、流动性）。本卡不判断方向，不承诺收益。证伪：解锁推迟或拆分到窗外、深度回到 1 档或更宽，或接收方承诺再锁定。叙事证伪：所依托的路线图节点被撤下或移出窗口。
If the release schedule assumed on this card [VERIFY] puts a Token-A (synthetic) cliff release inside the window, larger than what already circulates, while exit depth stays thin and trading sits on one venue, the binding constraint may concentrate around the release date (unlock/vest, liquidity). The card takes no direction and promises no return. It is falsified if the release is deferred or split beyond the window, depth returns to band 1 or wider, or recipients commit to a re-lock. The story leg is falsified if the roadmap milestone it leans on is dropped or moved outside the window.
合成：退出深度相对本次释放份额设定为偏紧，集中在少数场所和时段；未引用深度序列 [VERIFY] / Synthetic: exit depth modeled as thin against the released tranche, concentrated in few venues and hours; no depth series cited [VERIFY].
合成：窗内设定一次性解锁，规模大于现有流通量 / Synthetic: one cliff release modeled inside the window, larger than what circulates.
合成：设定交易集中于单一场所（按角色称呼）、依赖一座跨链桥、管理权限握在少数人手中 / Synthetic: modeled as trading on one venue named by role, reliant on one cross-chain bridge, with admin powers held by a small group.
合成：设定为有相当一段依赖路线图热度；排序行加注“叙事偏重” / Synthetic: modeled with a material leg resting on roadmap attention; the rank line adds 'story-heavy · 叙事偏重'.
合成静态窗口 2026-10-12 → 2026-11-06（Asia/Shanghai）/ Synthetic static window 2026-10-12 → 2026-11-06 (Asia/Shanghai).
排序 2 / 3·rank 2 / 3
叙事偏重·story-heavy
收紧约束数 4（流动性 2、解锁/归属 3、场所风险 2、时间窗口 2）；条数相同，时间窗口档位低于 District-C（合成），排第 2 / 3。叙事残差 2 档，叙事偏重。仅为约束张力的序数，不含价格或收益。/ Binding count 4 (liquidity 2, unlock/vest 3, venue risk 2, timing window 2); at an equal count its timing_window band is below District-C (synthetic), so it ranks 2 / 3. Narrative residual 2, story-heavy. Ordinal constraint tension only; no price or return./收紧约束数 4（流动性 2、解锁/归属 3、场所风险 2、时间窗口 2）；条数相同，时间窗口档位低于 District-C（合成），排第 2 / 3。叙事残差 2 档，叙事偏重。仅为约束张力的序数，不含价格或收益。/ Binding count 4 (liquidity 2, unlock/vest 3, venue risk 2, timing window 2); at an equal count its timing_window band is below District-C (synthetic), so it ranks 2 / 3. Narrative residual 2, story-heavy. Ordinal constraint tension only; no price or return.
[VERIFY]
若本卡假设的发行条款 [VERIFY] 使 Issuer-B（合成）上市前股东的锁定期在窗内到期，且这部分可售持股大于自由流通盘，约束可能落在可售供给遇上偏薄的流通盘（解锁/归属、流动性）。成立还需：无延长、分批或提前豁免，到期前无大宗配售先行消化。本卡不判断方向，不承诺收益。证伪：锁定期延长或移出窗口、这部分持股降到 1 档或更低，或流通盘扩大使流动性回到 1 档或更宽。
If the offering terms assumed on this card [VERIFY] put the lock-up expiry for Issuer-B (synthetic) pre-listing holders inside the window, and those sellable holdings exceed free float, the binding constraint may sit on sellable supply meeting a thin float (unlock/vest, liquidity). It also needs no extension, staggered release or early waiver, and no block placement absorbing the holdings first. The card takes no direction and promises no return. It is falsified if the lock-up is extended or moved outside the window, the holdings fall to band 1 or lower, or free float widens enough to put liquidity at band 1 or wider.
合成：自由流通盘相对即将可售的持股设定为偏小；换手只给档位 [VERIFY] / Synthetic: free float modeled as small against holdings that become sellable; turnover is band-only [VERIFY].
合成：上市前股东锁定期设定在窗内到期，规模大于自由流通盘 / Synthetic: pre-listing lock-up expiry modeled inside the window, larger than free float.
合成：设定为单一主要上市地，无停牌或指数审议；单凭这一点不足以推翻论点 / Synthetic: modeled as a single primary listing with no halt or index review; not enough alone to break the thesis.
合成：设定为主要依据本卡假设的发行条款；需解读的一段是上市前股东会如何行事 / Synthetic: modeled as resting mostly on the offering terms assumed here; the interpretive leg is how pre-listing holders behave.
合成静态窗口 2026-11-02 → 2026-12-04（Asia/Shanghai）/ Synthetic static window 2026-11-02 → 2026-12-04 (Asia/Shanghai).
排序 3 / 3·rank 3 / 3
收紧约束数 3（流动性 2、解锁/归属 3、时间窗口 2；场所风险 1 未收紧），少于另外两张卡，排第 3 / 3。叙事残差 1 档。仅为约束张力的序数，不含价格或收益。/ Binding count 3 (liquidity 2, unlock/vest 3, timing window 2; venue risk 1 is slack), fewer than the other two cards, so it ranks 3 / 3. Narrative residual 1. Ordinal constraint tension only; no price or return./收紧约束数 3（流动性 2、解锁/归属 3、时间窗口 2；场所风险 1 未收紧），少于另外两张卡，排第 3 / 3。叙事残差 1 档。仅为约束张力的序数，不含价格或收益。/ Binding count 3 (liquidity 2, unlock/vest 3, timing window 2; venue risk 1 is slack), fewer than the other two cards, so it ranks 3 / 3. Narrative residual 1. Ordinal constraint tension only; no price or return.
[VERIFY]
若本卡假设的听证公告 [VERIFY] 使 District-C（合成）的改划听证在窗内作出决定，同时已获许可的新增供给在窗口末段交付、贷款利率在窗内重定价、空置设定为偏高，约束可能集中在新增供给遇上偏慢的吸纳（场所风险、解锁/归属、流动性）。本卡不预判听证结果，不承诺收益。证伪：听证移出窗口、许可撤销或交付推迟到窗后、利率重定价日移出窗口、空置回落，或吸纳回到 1 档或更宽。
If the hearing notice assumed on this card [VERIFY] places the District-C (synthetic) rezoning hearing decision inside the window, while already-permitted supply delivers near the window's end, local lending rates reset inside it and vacancy is modeled as elevated, the binding constraint may be new supply meeting slow absorption (venue risk, unlock/vest, liquidity). The card does not call the hearing outcome and promises no return. It is falsified if the hearing moves outside the window, a permit is revoked or deliveries slip past it, the rate reset moves outside it, vacancy eases, or absorption returns to band 1 or wider.
合成：空置设定为偏高，贷款利率在窗内重定价，租赁与地块转售成交偏慢；未引用空置、利率或成交序列 [VERIFY] / Synthetic: vacancy modeled as elevated and a lending-rate reset inside the window, so leases and parcel resales clear slowly; no vacancy, rate or transaction series cited [VERIFY].
合成：已获许可的单元设定在窗口末段交付，规模与可用存量相当 / Synthetic: already-permitted units modeled to deliver near the window's end, comparable to available stock.
合成：设定为单一规划主管部门决定改划，听证后申诉期可使决定重开 / Synthetic: modeled with one planning authority deciding the rezoning and a post-hearing appeal period that can reopen it.
合成：需解读的一段是如何看待听证结果；交通规划传闻为设定，不计权重 / Synthetic: the interpretive leg is how the hearing outcome is read; transit talk is modeled and given no weight.
合成静态窗口 2026-09-01 → 2026-10-30（Asia/Shanghai），覆盖听证及意见期，利率重定价日在窗内 / Synthetic static window 2026-09-01 → 2026-10-30 (Asia/Shanghai), covering the hearing and comment period, with the rate reset inside.
排序 1 / 3·rank 1 / 3
收紧约束数 4（流动性 2、解锁/归属 2、场所风险 2、时间窗口 3）；条数相同，时间窗口档位更高，排第 1 / 3。叙事残差 1 档。仅为约束张力的序数，不含价格或收益。/ Binding count 4 (liquidity 2, unlock/vest 2, venue risk 2, timing window 3); at an equal count its timing_window band is higher, so it ranks 1 / 3. Narrative residual 1. Ordinal constraint tension only; no price or return./收紧约束数 4（流动性 2、解锁/归属 2、场所风险 2、时间窗口 3）；条数相同，时间窗口档位更高，排第 1 / 3。叙事残差 1 档。仅为约束张力的序数，不含价格或收益。/ Binding count 4 (liquidity 2, unlock/vest 2, venue risk 2, timing window 3); at an equal count its timing_window band is higher, so it ranks 1 / 3. Narrative residual 1. Ordinal constraint tension only; no price or return.
r001 · 2026-09-16
时间窗口档位边界 / timing_window band edges
规则修订：草稿第 1 档“30 天后开启”、第 2 档“30 天内开启” → 第 1 档“90 天后开启”、第 2 档“90 天内开启”；第 0、3 档不变。/ rule revised: draft band 1 'opens after 30 days', band 2 'opens within 30 days' → band 1 'opens after 90 days', band 2 'opens within 90 days'; bands 0 and 3 unchanged.
规划听证和许可交付常按较长的议程周期排期 [VERIFY]；30 天边界让土地相关卡片因日历而非约束落入低档。/ Planning hearings and permit deliveries often run on longer agenda cycles [VERIFY]; a 30-day edge banded land-adjacent cards by calendar, not by constraint.
引用 · cites: L-05 #11 · e1a04df45651
无；各卡仍为 S · 合成推演 / None; all cards remain S · 合成推演.
r002 · 2026-09-16
排序键 / rank key
规则修订：草稿未写明叙事残差是否计入收紧约束数，也没有“不排序”状态，同数时按类别顺序（加密类在前）、再按叙事残差高者在前 → 收紧约束数高者在前；同数时时间窗口档位高者在前，再叙事残差低者在前，再窗口结束日期早者在前（无日期在后），最后按卡片编号；叙事残差不计入收紧约束数，3 档标“不排序”。/ rule revised: draft did not state whether narrative_residual counts, had no unranked state, and broke ties by class sequence (crypto first), then higher narrative_residual → binding count, higher first; then timing_window band, higher first; then narrative_residual, lower first; then window end date, earlier first, undated last; then card_id; narrative_residual never counts, and band 3 prints unranked.
类别顺序属于呈现而非约束；叙事声量也不应把一张卡排到可核约束相同的另一张之前。/ Class sequence is presentation, not constraint, and a louder story should not lift a card above one with the same checkable constraints.
引用 · cites: L-05 #12 · 3c8548f5178f
无；演示卡片的排序标签据此确定，等级不变 / None; demo rank labels follow this key, grades unchanged.
r003 · 2026-09-16
O / M 等级的适用条件 / Grade O / M eligibility
规则修订：草稿未写明 O / M 的引用要求 → 只有卡上每条收紧约束都引用公开数据序列并注明截至日期，卡片才可标 O 或 M，核实前保留 [VERIFY]；只点名、未引用的序列仍为 S。/ rule revised: draft did not state the O / M citation requirement → a card is O or M only when every binding row cites a public series with its as-of date, [VERIFY] until checked; a named but uncited series stays S.
点名一个序列不等于引用它；等级只随引用变化。/ Naming a series is not citing it; a grade changes only with a citation.
引用 · cites: L-05 #13 · 19c14baf672e
无；没有卡片引用序列，全部仍为 S · 合成推演 / None; no card cites a series, so all remain S · 合成推演.
L-11 只做扫描和排序：不下单，也不接入任何交易场所。每张卡都是合成推演（S 级），标的均为合成占位，不对应任何真实资产、发行方或地区；未绑定任何市场数据，缺口标注 [VERIFY]。这里没有价格、报价或收益，只有约束档位、日期窗口和成立条件。不承诺收益，不构成投资建议。L-11 scans and ranks. It places nothing and connects to nothing. Every card is synthetic inference (Grade S), and every subject is a synthetic placeholder, not a real asset, issuer or district. No market data is bound, and gaps are tagged [VERIFY]. There are no prices, quotes or returns here, only constraint bands, date windows and the conditions that would have to hold. It promises no return and is not investment advice.
Five ordinal axes rank synthetic setups by constraint tension. Grade S · 合成推演. Places nothing; connects to nothing. Append-only method log.
本榜所列均为合成推演候选（S 级），只写条件，不是荐单，也不构成投资或资金建议。GRAVITY 不下单，也不接入任何交易场所；本榜不记录任何结果。Synthetic candidates, Grade S. This board states conditions only: not tips, not investment or capital advice. GRAVITY places nothing and connects to nothing, and the board records no outcomes.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
已过周期 · 30 天前 / past cadence · 30d old
as-of 2026-09-16T08:00:00+08:00 · Asia/Shanghai · max 10
#1·L12-20260916-01
S · 合成推演有条件成立：若 Question-A（合成）以唯一指定来源、按严格截止日条款结算（须在 2026-09-30 前完成，而非“已宣布”或“预计”），且推演来源未列出任何日期落在 2026-09-16 至 2026-09-29（含）之间的既定步骤，则把“截止前完成”当作基准情形的读法缺乏规则文本与日程记录的支持。该期间排有既定步骤、条款把宣布或预计视同完成，或没有唯一指定的结算来源，本条即不成立。
Conditional: if Question-A（合成） settles from one named source on a strict by-date clause (completed before 2026-09-30, not merely announced or expected), and synthesis sources list no step scheduled between 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-29 inclusive, then treating completion by the deadline as the base case is not supported by the rule text or the schedule record. A step scheduled in that period, a clause that counts an announcement or expectation as completion, or no single named settlement source falsifies this.
预测交易所类 · prediction-exchange
结算条款为严格截止日判定：须在 2026-09-30 前完成，不含“宣布”“预计”一类措辞。
The settlement clause is a strict by-date test: completed before 2026-09-30, with no 'announced' or 'expected' wording.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
推演来源未列出任何日期落在 2026-09-16 至 2026-09-29（含）之间的既定步骤。
Synthesis sources list no step scheduled between 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-29 inclusive.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
规则文本写明唯一的结算来源。
The rule text names exactly one settlement source.
operator · open
Invalidation · 出现任何日期落在 2026-09-16 至 2026-09-29（含）之间的既定步骤、条款把宣布或预计视同完成，或规则未写明唯一结算来源，任一出现本条作废。/Void on any step scheduled between 2026-09-16 and 2026-09-29 inclusive, a clause that counts an announcement or expectation as completion, or rule text without one named settlement source.
S-1 · 纸面单位 · 非资金建议 / S-1 paper unit · not capital advice
#2·L12-20260916-02
S · 合成推演有条件成立：若 Region-M（合成）2026-09-20 至 2026-09-30 的降水指数以单一指定站点结算、规则未写明替代来源、缺报日按零计入累计，且该站上一季有缺测记录，则把高累计区间当作基准情形的读法缺乏规则文本与站点记录的支持。规则写明替代来源、不以单一站点结算、缺报日不按零计，或该站上一季无缺测，本条即不成立。
Conditional: if the Region-M（合成） rainfall index for 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-30 settles on one named station, the rule text names no fallback source and counts a non-reporting day as zero, and the station's last-season record shows a reporting gap, then treating the upper cumulative range as the base case is not supported by the rule text or the station record. A named fallback source, settlement on more than one station, non-reporting days not counted as zero, or no gap last season falsifies this.
天气指数类 · weather-index
规则文本指定单一站点结算，且未写明替代来源。
The rule text settles on one named station and names no fallback source.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
规则文本把缺报日按零计入 2026-09-20 至 2026-09-30 的累计。
The rule text counts a non-reporting day as zero in the 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-30 total.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
该站上一季的报数记录有缺测。
The station's last-season record shows a reporting gap.
operator · open
Invalidation · 规则写明替代来源、不以单一站点结算、缺报日不按零计入 2026-09-20 至 2026-09-30 的累计，或该站上一季无缺测，任一出现本条作废。/Void if the rule names a fallback source, does not settle on one named station, does not count a non-reporting day as zero in the 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-30 total, or the station shows no reporting gap last season.
S-1 · 纸面单位 · 非资金建议 / S-1 paper unit · not capital advice
#3·L12-20260916-03
S · 合成推演有条件成立：若某事件板题目问“District-C（合成）改划是否于 2026-10-30 前获批”，规则文本把“获批”定义为最终通过、申诉期内的决定不算，推演采用的议程在该日前只排到听证（一读），且最早可能的终读加申诉期在 2026-10-30 当日或之后才结束，则把“截止前获批”当作基准情形的读法缺乏规则文本与议程记录的支持。规则把一读或申诉期内的决定算作获批、2026-10-30 前排入终读，或终读加申诉期可在该日前结束，本条即不成立。
Conditional: if an event-board question asks whether District-C（合成） rezoning is approved before 2026-10-30, the rule text defines approval as final adoption and excludes a decision still open to appeal, the agenda assumed by synthesis reaches only the hearing (first reading) before that date, and the earliest possible final reading plus appeal period ends on or after 2026-10-30, then treating approval by the deadline as the base case is not supported by the rule text or the agenda record. A rule that counts a first reading or an appealable decision as approval, a final reading scheduled before 2026-10-30, or a final reading plus appeal period that can close before that date falsifies this.
事件板类 · event-board
规则文本把“获批”定义为最终通过，且申诉期内的决定不算获批。
The rule text defines approval as final adoption and does not count a decision still open to appeal.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
推演采用的议程在 2026-10-30 前只排到听证（一读），未排终读。
The agenda assumed by synthesis reaches only the hearing (first reading) before 2026-10-30, with no final reading scheduled.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
按规则写明的申诉期长度，最早可能的终读加申诉期在 2026-10-30 当日或之后才结束。
Given the appeal period the rule text states, the earliest possible final reading plus that period ends on or after 2026-10-30.
operator · open
Invalidation · 规则把一读或申诉期内的决定算作获批、2026-10-30 前排入终读，或终读加申诉期可在该日前结束，任一出现本条作废。/Void if the rule counts a first reading or an appealable decision as approval, a final reading is scheduled before 2026-10-30, or a final reading plus the appeal period can close before that date.
S-1 · 纸面单位 · 非资金建议 / S-1 paper unit · not capital advice
#4·L12-20260916-04
S · 合成推演有条件成立：若某事件板题目以“Event-E（合成）于 2026-09-25 如期举行”设题，规则文本把“如期”定义为当日召开、同周内改期不算如期，推演来源显示同一机构前两次同类会议均曾改期，且 2026-09-22（含）前未公布确定议程，则把“如期举行”当作基准情形的读法缺乏该机构近期记录的支持。规则把同周改期算作如期、前两次会议并非均曾改期，或 2026-09-22（含）前公布确定议程，本条即不成立。
Conditional: if an event-board question asks whether Event-E（合成） is held as scheduled on 2026-09-25, the rule text defines 'as scheduled' as convening that day and excludes a same-week reschedule, synthesis sources show the same body rescheduled its prior two sittings of this kind, and no fixed agenda is published on or before 2026-09-22, then treating 'held as scheduled' as the base case is not supported by the body's recent record. A rule that counts a same-week reschedule as on schedule, prior sittings that were not both rescheduled, or a fixed agenda published on or before 2026-09-22 falsifies this.
事件板类 · event-board
规则文本把“如期举行”定义为 2026-09-25 当日召开，且不把同周内改期算作如期。
The rule text defines 'held as scheduled' as convening on 2026-09-25 and does not count a same-week reschedule as on schedule.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
推演来源显示同一机构前两次同类会议均曾改期。
Synthesis sources show the same body rescheduled its prior two sittings of this kind.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
截至 2026-09-22（含）未公布确定议程。
No fixed agenda is published on or before 2026-09-22.
operator · open
Invalidation · 规则把同周内改期算作如期、前两次同类会议并非均曾改期，或 2026-09-22（含）前公布确定议程，任一出现本条作废。/Void if the rule counts a same-week reschedule as on schedule, the body's prior two sittings were not both rescheduled, or a fixed agenda is published on or before 2026-09-22.
S-1 · 纸面单位 · 非资金建议 / S-1 paper unit · not capital advice
#5·L12-20260916-05
S · 合成推演有条件成立：若规则文本写明 Print-D（合成）下一期按修订后的数据版本结算，上一期数据在其公布的修订窗口（2026-09-17 至 2026-09-24）内被修订，而下一期题目的区间在修订前按未修订基数设定，则把现有区间当作按结算口径设定的基准情形读法缺乏规则文本与发布日程的支持。规则只按首次公布结算、2026-09-17 至 2026-09-24 之间未发生修订，或区间设定于修订之后，本条即不成立。
Conditional: if the rule text settles the next Print-D（合成） release on the revised data vintage, the prior release is revised inside its published revision window (2026-09-17 to 2026-09-24), and the next question's ranges were set on the unrevised base before the revision, then treating those ranges as set on the vintage that settles, as the base case, is not supported by the rule text or the release calendar. A rule that settles on first release only, no revision between 2026-09-17 and 2026-09-24, or ranges set after the revision falsifies this.
宏观发布类 · macro-print
规则文本写明按修订后的数据版本结算，而非仅按首次公布。
The rule text settles on the revised vintage, not on first release only.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
上一期修订落在 2026-09-17 至 2026-09-24 窗口内。
The prior-release revision lands between 2026-09-17 and 2026-09-24.
自动填表 · 仅指标注“推演自动填写”的条件行 · 不下单Auto-fill · only rows tagged auto-filled from synthesis · places nothing
下一期题目区间的设定日期早于修订日。
The next question's ranges were set before the revision date.
operator · open
Invalidation · 规则只按首次公布结算、2026-09-17 至 2026-09-24 之间未发生修订，或区间设定于修订之后，任一出现本条作废。/Void if the rule settles on first release only, no revision lands between 2026-09-17 and 2026-09-24, or the ranges were set after the revision.
S-1 · 纸面单位 · 非资金建议 / S-1 paper unit · not capital advice
read-only · yesterday read-only, no mutate
as-of 2026-09-15T08:00:00+08:00 · Asia/Shanghai · max 10
昨日榜按发布时原样保留；该日未列入候选。Yesterday kept as published; no candidates listed that day.
本榜所列均为合成推演候选（S 级），只写条件，不是荐单，也不构成投资或资金建议。GRAVITY 不下单，也不接入任何交易场所；本榜不记录任何结果。Synthetic candidates, Grade S. This board states conditions only: not tips, not investment or capital advice. GRAVITY places nothing and connects to nothing, and the board records no outcomes.
Daily underwriting board, max ten slots. Auto-fill tags condition rows only — places nothing, connects to no exchange. Yesterday archive is read-only.
阈值 |Δw| ≥ 5 小时 · S（产品设定）Threshold |Δw| ≥ 5 h · S (product setting)
作息建议 · 仅光照改编 · 方法 M [VERIFY] · 非自动管理/Sleep advice · light-only adaptation · Method M [VERIFY] · not auto-managed
多接触明亮光线 / Seek bright light · 18:00–22:00
调暗灯光 / Keep lights dim · 22:00–23:00
多接触明亮光线 / Seek bright light · 20:00–23:00
多接触明亮光线 / Seek bright light · 21:00–23:00
多接触明亮光线 / Seek bright light · 22:00–23:00
—
D1 · 2026-10-12 Mon · flight + arrival
D2 · 2026-10-13 Tue · workday
D3 · 2026-10-14 Wed · workday
示意图：横轴是 UTC 偏移，不是地理位置。非 GPS，不做地理编码。Schematic: the x-axis is UTC offset, not geography. Not GPS, not geocoded.
作息建议，不是自动管理；不预订，不上传，不宣称治愈时差。/Advice only — not auto-managed sleep; no booking, upload, or jet-lag cure claims.
Client-side circadian itinerary. Primary readout is sleep timing across a large zone jump. Books nothing; no medical cure claim. Light board only when |Δw| ≥ 5 h.
研究与法规筛查仪器，不是经纪或撮合服务。不提供卖楼撮合，不做履约保证，不构成法律意见或对业主的劝诱。地理范围 v1：东京都 23 区与大阪核心区。缺口标注 [VERIFY]。Research and statute screen only — not brokerage or matching. No sale facilitation, no performance guarantee, not legal advice, not a solicitation to owners. Geography v1: Tokyo 23 wards and Osaka cores. Gaps tagged [VERIFY].
geo · Tokyo23+Osaka
楼龄档 · Age bandM
<30y · 30–40y · 40–50y · ≥50y
缺陷标记 · Defect flagsM/[VERIFY]
seismic · fire · facade · pipe · access
同意门槛 · Consent thresholdO/[VERIFY]
区分所有法修订：重建／整栋出售门槛 4/5；有缺陷时可 3/4；法院可自分母剔除下落不明业主 [VERIFY · 法规版本与 as-of 待核]。/Revised Condominium Act: rebuild / whole-building sale threshold 4/5; 3/4 with defects; court may drop missing owners from the denominator [VERIFY · statute version + as-of].
地价残值 vs 重建成本 · Land residual vs rebuild costM/S
中心城过滤 · Center-city filterS
Tokyo 23 · Osaka core · out-of-scope
Tokyo 23 · age ≥50y · consent 4/5 · defects seismic,pipe
地价相对重建成本偏高；同意门槛按 4/5 读。仅作轴演示，不作可行性结论。
Land residual modeled high vs rebuild; consent read at 4/5. Axis demo only — no viability conclusion.
Osaka core · age 40–50y · consent 3/4 (defect path) · defects facade
缺陷路径或可适用 3/4；地价／成本比中性。仅作轴演示。
Defect path may open 3/4; land/cost ratio neutral. Axis demo only.
Tokyo23+Osaka · age — · consent —
公开统计序列待绑定；单元格暂为待核，不作全国可推广结论。
Public series not yet bound; cell pending verification — no nationwide viability claim.
谁可以收费撮合：日本宅建业者。本板不提供该服务，也不收集业主线索。Who may charge for matching: licensed JP real-estate brokers (takken). This plate never offers that service and collects no owner leads.
研究与法规筛查仪器，不是经纪或撮合服务。不提供卖楼撮合，不做履约保证，不构成法律意见或对业主的劝诱。地理范围 v1：东京都 23 区与大阪核心区。缺口标注 [VERIFY]。Research and statute screen only — not brokerage or matching. No sale facilitation, no performance guarantee, not legal advice, not a solicitation to owners. Geography v1: Tokyo 23 wards and Osaka cores. Gaps tagged [VERIFY].
Japan aged-condo collective-exit research screen. Tokyo 23 + Osaka cores. Not brokerage; not a solicitation to owners.
0 – 0mid 0
示意抽成带宽 20–35% · 标价 0/illustrative take 20–35% · list 0
分账示意 · Split sketchS · 合成推演
乘客支付示意 0 · 司机收取示意 0 （线下无平台抽成的合成示意）Rider pays (sketch) 0 · driver receives (sketch) 0 (offline, no platform cut in the synthetic sketch)
押金示意 · Deposit suggestionS · 合成推演
0
中点 × 15% · 教育示意，非托管/mid × 15% · educational sketch, not escrow
方法（合成）：假设示意平台抽成带宽 20–35%（非任一具体应用实测）。线下参考价带 = 平台标价 × (1−抽成) → [0.65P, 0.80P]；中点 0.725P。分账示意：乘客支付中点，司机收取该中点的 100%（线下无平台抽成的示意）。押金示意 = 中点 × 15%。城市档仅作展示微调。全部 Grade S · 合成推演；非报价、非法律意见、非撮合。Method (synthetic): illustrative platform take band 20–35% (not measured for any named app). Offline reference = list × (1 − take) → [0.65P, 0.80P]; midpoint 0.725P. Split sketch: rider pays midpoint; driver receives 100% of that midpoint (offline, no platform cut in the sketch). Deposit suggestion = midpoint × 15%. City class is display nudge only. All Grade S · synthetic; not a quote, not legal advice, not matching.
实验性研究仪器，不是法律意见，不是交易市场。本板不协助进行中的平台订单转线下，不处理支付／托管，不生成「自动协议」或「生效合同」，不辅导逃抽成或违反平台条款。使用平台服务同时规避费用可能违反服务条款与当地规则——本板不促成此事。全部数字为 Grade S · 合成推演。Experimental research instrument — not legal advice, not a marketplace. This plate does not assist diverting an in-progress platform trip offline, process payment/escrow, generate auto-agreements or binding contracts, or coach fee evasion / ToS breach. Using a platform while circumventing fees may violate ToS and local rules — this plate does not facilitate that. All figures are Grade S · synthetic.
Platform list price → synthetic offline reference band + static educational checklist. Grade S only. Not a marketplace; no payment; no binding agreement.
截至条 · 每项含等级、日期与官方出处As-of strip · each figure carries grade, date, and official outbound cite
~474 GW
~90% data centres (ERCOT key takeaway)
3.97 GW
3,966 MW non-simultaneous monthly peak among loads approved to energize
~4.96 GW
8,926 MW approved − 3,966 MW observed peak (same Overview)
Paused · verification & audit
Energization pause for new ≥75 MW data-centre / crypto Large Loads; eligibility report target 2026-12-10
ACTIVE
Governor directive: halt data-center permits until ERCOT review; TCEQ compliance update by 2026-10-19
[VERIFY]
[VERIFY] 缺官方 ISO／机构「已通电需求」序列；不用媒体软 CTA。[VERIFY] No official ISO/agency ready-power demand series; press soft-CTA omitted.
方法见附录 · 数据中心电力备忘录 §2Method → appendix · datacenter power memo §2VERIFY 墙VERIFY wallpower trapdoor →
Observational scarcity-weather board for already-energized large-load sites. Three cards: queue weather (ERCOT monthly), policy freeze (Batch Zero / TCEQ), demand vignette (Grade O official only — else [VERIFY]). Every metric carries grade + as_of + outbound official URL, or [VERIFY].
Signal board only. Zero broker chrome, zero contact forms, zero unit economics. Method detail: /land/s/power §2. Clears: VERIFY wall.
收录 3 个外部来源，未收录不代表更弱；GRAVITY 不排名，不背书。/3 external sources listed; absence ≠ weaker. GRAVITY does not rank or endorse.
快照抓取 / snapshot fetched 2026-10-14T07:00:00Z
| 模型 Model | 推理问答 / Reasoning Q&A 外部榜单，未经授权不转载分数。请到原站查看。 Artificial Analysis [VERIFY] External board; scores are not republished without permission. See the original site. | 人类偏好对战 / Human preference 外部榜单，未经授权不转载分数。请到原站查看。 LMArena [VERIFY] External board; scores are not republished without permission. See the original site. | 金融/预测问答准确率 / Finance/forecast Q&A accuracy 外部榜单，未经授权不转载分数。请到原站查看。 Artificial Analysis [VERIFY] External board; scores are not republished without permission. See the original site. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
| DeepSeek | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
| Gemini (Google) | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
| GPT (OpenAI) | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
| Grok (xAI) | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
| Llama (Meta) | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
| Qwen (Alibaba) | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] | [VERIFY] |
BenchLM 总榜（非编程专项） / BenchLM overall (not coding-specific) · terms [VERIFY]
Data from BenchLM.ai · https://benchlm.ai/
以下组件由 BenchLM 提供并维护，数据与排序均为 BenchLM 所有（CC BY-NC 4.0）。GRAVITY 未参与评测，也不认可或保证其结果。
Widget provided and maintained by BenchLM; data and ordering are BenchLM's (CC BY-NC 4.0). GRAVITY did not take part in the evaluation and does not endorse or warrant the results.
自测栏 · Grade M · A/B 盲评（model-bakeoff v1，sha 91d1468b） / Self-test · Grade M · A/B blind eval (model-bakeoff v1, sha 91d1468b)
待结果回房，经人工核对后填写；只记扣分项计数 · n=1 次运行 · 只测 GRAVITY 规矩遵守 · 不代表能力。
Empty until results return, filled in after human review; deduction counts only · n=1 run · tests GRAVITY rule-adherence only · not a measure of capability.
研究仪器；无订阅、无 API 密钥售卖、无联盟链接。来源链接只指向公开榜单。
Research instrument; no subscriptions, no API-key sales, no affiliate links. Source links point only to public boards.
观测仪器，不是排行榜：只记录哪个模型在哪个公开测评、哪天、得了多少。不跨榜加权，不合成总分。外部栏在来源条款逐一核对前只显示 [VERIFY] 空位，不显示数值。每日一次静态快照；读取失败时显示上次日期并变暗，不补数、不插值。星的大小、颜色、离心距不编码分数；亮度只表示数据新鲜度（超过 30 天变暗）。不收按盈亏/收益排名的交易竞技场；金融或预测类分项只收问答准确率。
An observation instrument, not a leaderboard: it records which model scored what on which public evaluation, and when. No cross-board weighting, no composite score. Until each source's terms are verified, external columns show [VERIFY] placeholders only, no values. One static snapshot per day; if it cannot be read, the last date is shown and stars dim, with no backfill or interpolation. Star size, colour and radius never encode a score; brightness encodes data freshness only (dim after 30 days). No P&L- or return-ranked trading arenas; finance or forecasting items count Q&A accuracy only.
口径：全国租金涨幅（CPI 家賃）vs 片区现价 / Scope: national rent growth (CPI rent) vs area price
P = R·(1−v) / (r − g) · r = 10Y + p · g* = r − R·(1−v)/P · p* = g + R·(1−v)/P − 10Y
简化模型，未计税费与维护。 / Simplified model; taxes, fees and upkeep not included.
| 片区现价 P / Area price P | 万円 | Grade S | 国交省 不動産情報ライブラリ · 成交价 | [VERIFY] |
| 现租金 R / Current rent R | 万円/年 | Grade S | 国交省 不動産情報ライブラリ · 租金样本 | [VERIFY] |
| 空置率 v / Vacancy v | % | Grade S | 総務省 住宅・土地統計調査 | [VERIFY] |
| 10Y 国债利率 / 10Y government bond rate | % | Grade S | 財務省 国債金利情報 · 10Y JGB | [VERIFY] |
| 风险溢价 p（M） / Risk premium p (M) | % | Grade M | L-19 方法 · 固定风险溢价 | [VERIFY] |
| 全国租金年涨幅（历史） / National rent growth (history) | %/年 | Grade O | 総務省統計局 CPI 長期時系列 品目別前年比 民営家賃（全国） | 2026-01-23 [VERIFIED] |
示例值 / example value租金每年跌 0.30% 以内，现价仍说得通Rent could fall by up to 0.30% a year and the current price would still hold.
历史对照：2016–2025 年民営家賃年均约 0.0%（全国 · 官方；官方同比精确到 0.1）片区为示例，全国数不代表片区各国口径不同，不作跨国比较History: private rent 2016–2025, avg ≈0.0%/yr (national · official; YoY published to 0.1) Districts are examples; the national figure does not stand for them. Methods differ by country; not for cross-country comparison.
| 片区现价 P / Area price P | 万円 | Grade S | 国交省 不動産情報ライブラリ · 成交价 | [VERIFY] |
| 现租金 R / Current rent R | 万円/年 | Grade S | 国交省 不動産情報ライブラリ · 租金样本 | [VERIFY] |
| 空置率 v / Vacancy v | % | Grade S | 総務省 住宅・土地統計調査 | [VERIFY] |
| 10Y 国债利率 / 10Y government bond rate | % | Grade S | 財務省 国債金利情報 · 10Y JGB | [VERIFY] |
| 风险溢价 p（M） / Risk premium p (M) | % | Grade M | L-19 方法 · 固定风险溢价 | [VERIFY] |
| 全国租金年涨幅（历史） / National rent growth (history) | %/年 | Grade O | 総務省統計局 CPI 長期時系列 品目別前年比 民営家賃（全国） | 2026-01-23 [VERIFIED] |
示例值 / example value租金每年跌 1.10% 以内，现价仍说得通Rent could fall by up to 1.10% a year and the current price would still hold.
历史对照：2016–2025 年民営家賃年均约 0.0%（全国 · 官方；官方同比精确到 0.1）片区为示例，全国数不代表片区各国口径不同，不作跨国比较History: private rent 2016–2025, avg ≈0.0%/yr (national · official; YoY published to 0.1) Districts are examples; the national figure does not stand for them. Methods differ by country; not for cross-country comparison.
无官方租金/成交价源，整格待核，不估。 / No official rent or price source; the whole cell awaits checking and is not estimated.
| 片区现价 P / Area price P | — USD | Grade — | 无官方成交价/租金源（锁包未指定） | [VERIFY] |
| 现租金 R / Current rent R | — USD/yr | Grade — | 无官方成交价/租金源（锁包未指定） | [VERIFY] |
| 空置率 v / Vacancy v | % | Grade S | Census HVS | [VERIFY] |
| 10Y 国债利率 / 10Y government bond rate | % | Grade S | Federal Reserve H.15 · 10Y Treasury | [VERIFY] |
| 风险溢价 p（M） / Risk premium p (M) | % | Grade M | L-19 方法 · 固定风险溢价 | [VERIFY] |
| 全国租金年涨幅（历史） / National rent growth (history) | %/年 | Grade O | BLS CPI-U · Rent of primary residence, US city average, NSA (CUUR0000SEHA) | [VERIFY] |
此价无法用该模型解释 / This price cannot be explained by this model
美国：2016–2025 年主要住所租金年均约 4.3%（由 BLS 官方指数计算）CUUR0000SEHA各国口径不同，不作跨国比较US: rent of primary residence, 2016–2025 avg ≈4.3%/yr (computed from official BLS index) CUUR0000SEHA Methods differ by country; not for cross-country comparison.
只观测：把片区现价倒推成撑住这个价需要的假设，不下结论。g* 与 p* 二选一求解，另几项取当前输入。r = 10Y 国债（O）+ 风险溢价 p（M，单独显示）。历史对照行是全国租金涨幅，不代表同片区。示例数据为合成演示（Grade S），来源核完前每个输入的日期写作待核。只到片区级。
日本：官方指数未做房龄调整；统计局 2021 年分析显示，调整后每年约高 0.7–0.8 个百分点（参考，非官方序列）。来源：総務省統計局 kenkyu2（2021-08-20）
Observation only: turns an area price into the assumption needed to hold it, with no verdict. Solve for g* or p*; the rest are current inputs. r = 10Y government bond (O) + risk premium p (M, shown separately). The history row is national rent growth, not this area. Example data is a synthetic demo (Grade S); each input's date stays pending until its source is checked. Area level only.
Japan: the official index is not adjusted for building age; a 2021 Statistics Bureau analysis puts the adjusted rate about 0.7–0.8 pt/yr higher (reference only, not an official series). Source: Statistics Bureau kenkyu2 (2021-08-20)
Grades: O 观测 Observed · M 模型 Modeled · S 合成推演 Synthetic · C 文化推演 Cultural. Every plate carries ID, grade, as-of UTC, sources, and snapshot_hash.
Entropy v1 is SIM (seeded CSPRNG) for L-02 and L-04. Hardware RNG path deferred — no HW badge.
Power as zoning — the megawatt-ready acre thesis is developed in the appendix.附录 · 数据中心电力备忘录 / Appendix · datacenter power memo.
Quiet research door (noindex): 量化/QUANT — research desk only; distinct from L-11 / L-12.
Plate index
← back·gravity.li/land
Non-advice notice: descriptive instruments only. Synthetic inference (S) makes no physical-world claim. Cultural inference (C) is tradition, not engineering. Memo trapdoor open, noindex.